Wednesday, 9 September 2015

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Wednesday, 2 September 2015


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Sunday, 23 August 2015

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Thursday, 20 August 2015

IS GBP/USD Forecast: bearish continuation below 1.5600?


GBPUSD chart
The GBP/USD pair approached the 1.5600 level, with the Pound under strong selling pressure following the release of poor Retail Sales data in the UK. During July, retail sales excluding auto-fuel rose 0.4%, with the total figure reaching 0.1%, below expectations of a o.4%. The annual rate resulted...http://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/

fx analysis#

 as youcan see Monday's market could not sustain selling pressure--the number of downticks across stocks was modest--Tuesday was the reverse, with limited buying.  The volume flow measure was solidly negative on the day, and we could not take out the overnight highs.  This tape action fit well with the bearish model signals from yesterday, and we're seeing further price weakness in premarket today.  I continue to doubt a sustained upside for stocks as long as we see continued commodity weakness, which speaks to global economic weakness, especially in EM.

*  We can see breadth weakness in the number of stocks persistently trading under their lower Bollinger Bands versus those trading above (see below; raw data via Stock Charts).  Note how the divergence in the cumulative Bollinger balance preceded the drop in October of 2014.  We are currently seeing quite a massive divergence; there are simply more stocks across the NYSE universe trading with significant weakness than with significant strength. 

Monday, 17 August 2015

#Journal Publication Update: Vol 5, No.24, No.25, No.26 (2014) Journal of Econo...

Journal Publication Update: Vol 5, No.24, No.25, No.26 (2014) Journal of Econo...: Vol 5, No 24 (2014) Table of Contents Articles Farmers’ Perception and Adoption of Soil and Water Conservation Measures: the case of Gidan W...

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Journal Publication Update: Vol 7 (2014) Journal of Medicine, Physiology and B...: Vol 7 (2014) Table of Contents Articles Biosynthesis of deuterium-labeled transmembrane protein bacteriorhodopsin using a halobacterium Halo...

fx analysis #

EUR/USD Intraday: the downside prevails. Next
Pivot: 1.114

Our preference: Short positions below 1.114 with targets @ 1.103 & 1.098 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.114 look for further upside with 1.119 & 1.1215 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bearish.
Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced
USD/JPY Intraday: key resistance at 124.6. Previous  | Next
Pivot: 124.6

Our preference: Short positions below 124.6 with targets @ 124 & 123.75 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 124.6 look for further upside with 125 & 125.3 as targets.

Comment: As long as the resistance at 124.6 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 124 remains high.
Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced

GBP/USD Intraday: the upside prevails. Previous  | Next
Pivot: 1.5595

Our preference: Long positions above 1.5595 with targets @ 1.569 & 1.5735 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.5595 look for further downside with 1.557 & 1.554 as targets.
Comment: The RSI lacks downward momentum.
Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced

Gold spot Intraday: bullish bias above 1112. Previous  | Next
Pivot: 1112

Our preference: Long positions above 1112 with targets @ 1121 & 1127 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1112 look for further downside with 1102 & 1093.7 as targets.

Comment: A support base at 1112 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced

Silver spot Intraday: range. Previous  | Next
Pivot: 15.32

Our preference: Short positions below 15.32 with targets @ 15.15 & 15 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 15.32 look for further upside with 15.5 & 15.62 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed.
Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced
Crude Oil (WTI) (U5) Intraday: capped by a negative trend line. Previous 
Pivot: 43

Our preference: Short positions below 43 with targets @ 41.33 & 40.9 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 43 look for further upside with 43.85 & 44.4 as targets.

Comment: As long as 43 is resistance, likely decline to 41.33.

IS EUR/USD testing highs near 1.1130#

the pair’s upside has picked up further pace after the US Empire State index slumped to -14.92 for the current month, badly missing estimates at 5.00 and lower than July’s 3.86.

Spot is thus extending the recovery from daily troughs around 1.1060 ahead of the more relevant NAHB index and TIC Flows figures due later.
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EUR/USD levels to watch

As of writing the pair is retreating 0.06% at 1.1102 and a breakdown of 1.1063 (low Aug.17) would aim for 1.1057 (low Aug.12) ahead of 1.0961 (low Aug.11). On the upside, the initial hurdle aligns at 1.1190 (high Aug.13) ahead of 1.1215 (high Aug.12) and finally 1.1244 (high Jun.30).

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Monday, 10 August 2015

why is eurusd weak?

The market started the week quietly, with the American dollar grinding higher across the board, but within familiar ranges during most of the European session, ahead of some speeches of key FED's members. In Europe, the Sentix investor'
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Weak China data, Berkshire multi-billion dollar deal boost Wall Street

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Wall Street rallied on Monday after a major M&A deal and on weak data out of China that boosted hopes for fresh stimulus from Beijing, while expectations of a U.S. interest rate hike kept the dollar near a four-month high.
All three major U.S. stock indices at one point were over 1 percent higher after a $37.2 billion deal by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway to buy Precision Castparts showed the M&A boom was alive and well.http://www.currencynewstrading.com

iseurusd coming back?

http://d2ipzmg0avd0av.cloudfront.net/creatives/160x600_1a.gif

Technical Analysis

Recommended Reports








will eurusd stay above 1.100 for long?

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Friday, 7 August 2015

#New Zealand's unemployment rate ticks up in Q2

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FXStreet (Bali) - New Zealand's unemployment rate rose to 5.9 percent during Q2 (in line with expectations), which represents a 0.1 bp increase from previous 5.8% in Q1, while job growth stood at +0.3% in Q2 vs +0.5% expected

The participation rate fell to 69.3% vs 69.6% exp and 69.6% last (record high). As per the labour cost, both the quarterly and yearly readings came as expected at 0.5% and 1.8% respectively.

According to Statistics New Zealand: "Annual employment continues its period of growth, but quarterly growth falls behind working-age population growth."